The Euro - What Should Have Been
In my opinion the Europeans have snatched defeat from the jaws of victory……
First,
Europeans didn't trust markets. The acceptability of a member state
default should have been the primary Maastricht weapon to ensure fiscal
probity. (I have written over and over how US states defaulted in the
1840s without permanent damage to the American union. But instead one
bailout after another was set up for Greece and the European Central
Bank began printing money.)
Second, the euro is
getting blamed for the sins of socialism. (The fatal attraction of
populism has been quite evident in the European political process which
has promised more and more ultimately unaffordable benefits. The
governments in Europe for quite some time have been gradually devouring
their economies. The bulk of the countries in Europe are headed for
bankruptcy anyway and the euro is taking the blame.)
Third,
somehow the Europeans managed to saddle themselves with a bank clearing
mechanism that effectively has allowed the weaker states to pile up
with impunity more debt obligations to the strong states. (This has
provided the peripheral weaker countries with another ATM machine not
subject to market discipline.)
Fourth, the banking
systems of Europe were not allowed to become integrated. (Each country
has its own set of national banks which have their own sets of
regulators and which tend to be undiversified in terms of deposits and
lending. The banks are captives of the national governments for whom
financial repression, to use an old economic term repopularized by
Reinhart and Rogoff, is a routine practice.)
…………………. Peter T Treadway.
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